Moore's law

Chip density prediction

Moore's law is the observation that the number of transistors on a microchip doubles approximately every two years, with costs halving.

Named after Intel co-founder Gordon Moore, who proposed it in 1965, the principle guided semiconductor industry expectations for decades: Moore's law predicted exponential growth in computing power.

Though not a physical law, it became a self-fulfilling prophecy as companies planned around it.

Recent years have seen debate about whether Moore's law is slowing or has reached its limits.

prediction

doubling

Multiplying by two

trajectory · forecast · trend · timeline · roadmap · observation · empirical · projection · extrapolation · curve

semiconductors

transistors

Semiconductor switching devices

circuitry · integrated circuit · fabrication · wafer · lithography · photolithography · CMOS · die · gate · doping

economics

cost reduction

Decreasing expenditure amounts

R&D · capital expenditure · yields · manufacturing · Intel · Samsung

computing

performance

Carrying out a task

clock speed · throughput · efficiency · hardware · processors · memory · DRAM · compute · parallelism · cores

limits

end of

At the termination of

plateauing · atomic scale · leakage

Categories
Opposites
technological trajectory

Moore's lawdiminishing returns

Reduced benefit from additional effort

hitting the wall · dark age · saturation point

empirical vs. fundamental law

Moore's lawlaws of thermodynamics

Fundamental energy behavior principles

speed of light · physical constants · Planck's constant · conservation laws · Newton's laws

resource trajectory

Moore's lawlaw of diminishing returns

Added effort produces declining benefit

peak oil · resource depletion · entropy · carrying capacity · overshoot

Family

Moore, law, laws, lawful, lawfully, lawfulness, unlawful, unlawfully, lawless

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Timeless · Abstract · Rated G