probability theory

Mathematics of likelihood

Probability theory is the branch of mathematics that studies random phenomena and uncertainty.

It provides formal frameworks for calculating the likelihood of events, from coin flips to complex systems.

The theory underpins statistics, actuarial science, quantum mechanics, and machine learning: Probability theory tells us the odds of drawing a flush.

calculation

expected value

Probability-weighted outcome average

correlation · moment · mean · median · mode · percentile · likelihood · chain rule · generating function

statistics

hypothesis testing

Statistical method for evaluating claims

regression · t-test · ANOVA · z-score · parametric · nonparametric · posterior · prior

stochastic

martingale

Tack restraining head position

simulation · filtration · stopping time

foundations

random variable

Function quantifying probabilistic outcomes

axioms · independence · law of large numbers · combinatorics · permutation · combination · counting · frequentist · subjectivist

applications

risk assessment

Evaluating likelihood of harm

genetics · quantum mechanics · financial modeling · epidemiology · signal processing · entropy

distributions

normal distribution

Bell-shaped probability curve

exponential · uniform · geometric · chi-square · beta · gamma · multinomial · continuous · discrete · heavy-tailed

Categories
Opposites
determinism vs. uncertainty

probability theorydeterminism

Doctrine of causal necessity

absolute certainty · classical mechanics · Newtonian mechanics · clockwork universe · certainty

epistemological approach

probability theoryfaith

Trust without proof

dogma · superstition · divination · gut feeling · magical thinking

mathematical domain

probability theorynumber theory

Pure math studying integers

algebra · geometry · set theory · combinatorics · calculus

Family

theory, probably, probable, probability, improbable, theorem, theories, theoretical, theorize

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