Moore's Law

Chip density prediction

Moore's Law is the observation that the number of transistors on a microchip doubles approximately every two years, while costs fall.

Named for Intel cofounder Gordon Moore, who noted the pattern in 1965, it has guided semiconductor industry expectations for decades.

The term now applies loosely to any exponential technological progress: Moore's Law can't continue forever.

semiconductor

transistor

Semiconductor signal switch

fabrication · lithography · wafer · nanometer · node · density · miniaturization · etching · photolithography · die

exponential

doubling

Multiplying by two

geometric · multiplication · proliferation · scaling · amplification · snowballing · intensification · escalation · surge · expansion

computing

performance

Carrying out a task

throughput · capacity · memory · storage · bandwidth · cost reduction · efficiency · parallelism · multicore

obsolescence

outdated

No longer in use

quantum tunneling · heat dissipation · leakage · breakdown · plateau · slowdown

innovation

disruption

Forceful interruption of process

revolution · transformation · evolution · paradigm · industry · competition · investment · R&D · cutting-edge · state-of-the-art

prediction

forecast

Prediction of future conditions

extrapolation · expectation · timeline · projection · anticipation · foresight · benchmark · milestone · trajectory · tracking

Categories
Opposites
technological progress trajectory

Moore's Lawdiminishing returns

Reduced benefit from additional effort

hitting the wall

empirical observation vs. physical law

Moore's Lawlaws of thermodynamics

Fundamental energy behavior principles

speed of light · Planck's constant · conservation of energy · physical constants · natural law

resource efficiency direction

Moore's Lawlaw of diminishing returns

Added effort produces declining benefit

Family

law, laws, Moore

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Timeless · Abstract · Rated G