backtest

Strategy replay analysis

To backtest is to evaluate a strategy, model, or system by applying it to historical data.

Traders backtest investment strategies against past market performance: We backtested the algorithm against ten years of stock prices.

The practice reveals how an approach would have performed, though past results don't guarantee future success.

Common in finance, quantitative research, and machine learning.

quantitative

simulation

Imitation of real processes

performance · returns · metrics · validation · optimization · parameters · drawdown · benchmark · overfitting · curve fitting

trading

strategy

Planned approach to goals

exit · risk management · buy · sell · orders · execution · market conditions · indicators · technical analysis · moving average

software

platform

Raised flat structure

API · code · library · vectorized · event-driven · debugging · visualization · reporting · dashboard · pandas

validation

accuracy

Degree of correctness

survivorship · assumptions · limitations · realistic · hypothetical · paper trading · regime change · black swan · edge cases · confidence interval

Opposites
temporal direction

backtestforecast

Prediction of future conditions

projection · extrapolation

real vs. simulated

backtestpaper trading

Simulated market transactions

production run · field testing

validation methodology

backtestpaper trading

Simulated market transactions

go live · field test

Family

backtesting

Familiarity
Top 500,000
Profile
Used worldwide · Timeless · Rated G