counterfactuals

Imagined alternative outcomes

Counterfactuals are statements about what would have happened if circumstances had been different: If I had left earlier, I would have caught the train.

They imagine alternatives to actual events and explore their consequences.

Philosophers and scientists use counterfactual reasoning to analyze causation—asking whether an outcome would have occurred without a particular factor.

In casual use, counterfactuals often express regret or speculation about missed opportunities.

philosophy

causation

Production of effects

thought experiments · metaphysics · epistemology · determinism · free will · Leibniz · conditionals · antecedent · consequent · backtracking

reasoning

what-if

Hypothetical scenario query

supposition · assumption · inference · thought experiment · mental simulation · imagination · alternative · possibility · speculation · projection

history

alternate history

Genre reimagining past outcomes

divergence · timeline · revisionism · historiography · antecedents · preconditions · causation · consequence · retrospective · contingency

science

control group

Untreated subjects for comparison

Pearl · confounding · selection bias · matching · randomization · attribution · epidemiology

Categories
Opposites
actuality

counterfactualsfacts

Verifiable pieces of truth

actualities · realities · historical facts · truths · data

modal status

counterfactualsnecessities

What you cannot lack

tautologies · certainties

epistemic orientation

counterfactualsobservations

Noted perceptions

reports · attestations · documentations

Family

counterfactual

Familiarity
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Used worldwide · Timeless · Abstract · Rated G