yield curve

Bond maturity plot

A yield curve is a graph plotting interest rates of bonds with the same credit quality but different maturity dates.

Normally the curve slopes upward—longer-term bonds pay higher rates to compensate for time risk.

An inverted yield curve, where short-term rates exceed long-term ones, often signals recession expectations: The yield curve inverted six months before the downturn.

shape

inversion

Reversal of position

flat · steep · normal · humped · butterfly · belly · twist · pivot · kink · carry

bonds

treasury

Stored organizational funds

spread · benchmark · sovereign debt · gilt · bund · fixed income · zero-coupon

economics

recession

Prolonged economic decline

GDP · unemployment · economic cycle · business cycle · stagflation · growth · contraction · economic indicator · forecasting · leading indicator

policy

monetary policy

Central bank economic controls

quantitative easing · tightening · accommodation · Fed · rate cut

theory

market segmentation

Splitting audiences by shared traits

trading

arbitrage

Exploiting price discrepancies

  • hedgingNoncommittal maneuvering
  • swapExchange one for another
  • futuresContracts for future delivery

barbell · bullet · ladder · roll · carry trade · position

Opposites
financial instrument visualization

yield curvestock chart

Graph tracking share values

candlestick chart · moving average

market signal interpretation

yield curveunemployment rate

Percentage without jobs seeking work

stock market index

Family

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