uncertainty

State of unsureness

Uncertainty is the state of not knowing—doubt about what is true, what will happen, or what to do.

It can describe a person's mental state (She expressed uncertainty about the plan) or a situation's objective quality (economic uncertainty).

In science and statistics, uncertainty quantifies how much a measurement might vary from the true value.

The plural uncertainties refers to specific unknowns or risks: the uncertainties of war.

doubt

skepticism

Disposition toward doubt

suspicion · distrust · incredulity · wariness · reservation · qualm · dubiousness · tentativeness · second-guessing · apprehension

probability

likelihood

Chance something will occur

  • chanceLikelihood of occurrence
  • oddsLikelihood expressed numerically
  • randomnessLack of predictable pattern

stochastic · expectation · distribution · variance · estimation · forecasting · projection · modeling · Bayesian · probabilistic

indecision

vacillation

Inability to choose

irresolute · undecided · ambivalence · hesitancy · torn · conflicted · deliberation · quandary · dilemma · paralysis

flux

instability

Tendency toward unpredictable change

fluctuation · turbulence · precariousness · transience · impermanence · changeability · inconsistency · unsteadiness · shakiness · upheaval

ambiguity

vagueness

Absence of precision

indistinct · murky · opaque · equivocal · blurred · clouded · imprecision · indefinite · cryptic · obscure

risk

hazard

Source of potential harm

vulnerability · peril · insecurity · danger · gamble · stakes · downside · unknown · liability · threat

epistemology

knowledge

Understood facts and skills

agnosticism · unknowable · conjecture · provisional · tentative · hypothesis · theory · evidence · proof · verification

measurement

error

Fault in communication

reliability · calibration · sensitivity · specificity · reproducibility · noise · approximation · estimation

Categories
Opposites
epistemic state

uncertaintycertainty

Total absence of doubt

certitude · conviction · sureness · confidence · assurance

predictability

uncertaintypredictability

Capacity to be anticipated

certainty · reliability · regularity · stability · consistency

definiteness

uncertaintydefiniteness

Quality of being exact

certainty · clarity · precision · exactness · specificity

Phrases
Family

uncertain, uncertainly, uncertainties, uncertainty principle

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Known to kids · Used worldwide · Timeless · Abstract · Negative · Everyday, not technical · Rated G