overprediction
Expecting too much
Overprediction is forecasting or estimating something as higher, more frequent, or more likely than it turns out to be.
A model that consistently overpredicts sales overestimates future demand.
In statistics and machine learning, overprediction describes systematic error where predicted values exceed actual outcomes: The algorithm's overprediction of risk led to unnecessary interventions.
Judge as greater than
- overshootGo beyond intended point
- overestimationJudging something too high
- projectionSomething that extends outward
- forecastPrediction of future conditions
modeling · overconfidence · bullish · optimistic · inflation · overassessment · overvaluation · miscalibration
Fault in communication
- inaccuracyLack of precision
- misjudgmentFaulty evaluation of something
- overshootGo beyond intended point
- overestimateJudge as greater than
miscalibration · overassessment · faulty · bias · flaw · misreckoning · overcounting · overweighting
Incorrect presence indication
- type I errorRejecting a true null
- overfitExcessive model specificity
- overfittingExcess adaptation to samples
- classificationSystematic grouping by traits
threshold · sensitivity · specificity · precision · recall · algorithm · machine learning · regression
Claim beyond the facts
- hyperboleRhetorical extreme exaggeration
- inflationSustained price level increase
- amplificationIncrease in intensity
- overestimationJudging something too high
overselling · overclaiming · overreach · overconfident · overoptimistic · overpromise · hype · puffery
overestimate
Judge as greater than
- overshootGo beyond intended point
- overestimationJudging something too high
- projectionSomething that extends outward
forecast · modeling · overconfidence · bullish · optimistic · inflation · overassessment · overvaluation · miscalibration · bias
error
Fault in communication
- inaccuracyLack of precision
- misjudgmentFaulty evaluation of something
- overshootGo beyond intended point
overestimate · miscalibration · overassessment · faulty · bias · flaw · misreckoning · overcounting · overweighting · systematic error
false positive
Incorrect presence indication
- type I errorRejecting a true null
- overfitExcessive model specificity
- overfittingExcess adaptation to samples
classification · threshold · sensitivity · specificity · precision · recall · algorithm · machine learning · regression · calibration
overstatement
Claim beyond the facts
- hyperboleRhetorical extreme exaggeration
- inflationSustained price level increase
- amplificationIncrease in intensity
overestimation · overselling · overclaiming · overreach · overconfident · overoptimistic · overpromise · hype · puffery · embellishment
overpredictionunderestimation
Judging below actual value
underestimate · lowball estimate · conservative estimate · undercount · underestimating
over, prediction, predict, predicting, predicted, predictor, predictors, predictions, predictable