base rate

Underlying interest level

Base rate is the underlying frequency of something in a population, before considering any additional information.

In statistics and probability, it's the prevalence you'd expect by chance alone: The base rate for the disease is 1 in 10,000.

Ignoring base rates leads to common reasoning errors—a positive test result means little if the condition is extremely rare.

In finance, base rate can mean a central bank's benchmark interest rate.

finance

central bank

National currency management institution

inflation · yield

statistics

probability

Quantified chance of occurrence

proportion · population · sample · false positive · false negative · sensitivity · specificity · epidemiology · incidence

cognition

cognitive bias

Systematic deviation from rationality

anchoring · overconfidence · decision-making · intuition

Categories
Opposites
statistical reasoning

base ratelikelihood

Chance something will occur

financial rate hierarchy

base rateretail rate

Standard consumer purchase price

market rate · floating rate · variable rate · premium rate

Family

base, rate, basic, basis, ratio, rating, debase, baseless, baseline

Familiarity
Top 500,000
Profile
Used worldwide · Timeless · Abstract · Rated G