likely voters
Predicted ballot casters
Likely voters is a polling term for people deemed probable to actually cast ballots in an upcoming election, as opposed to all registered voters or adults generally.
Pollsters use screening questions about past voting behavior, current intention, and engagement to identify this subset.
Polls of likely voters are considered more predictive than broader samples: The race tightens among likely voters.
- pollsOpinion surveys or voting sites
- exit pollsSurveys taken after voting
- margin of errorAllowable deviation from truth
- ballotsVoting forms
- polling placeDesignated voting location
swing · swing state · registered · turnout · election · democracy · booth · campaign · undecided · demographics · survey · enthusiasm · margin · precinct · primary · canvassing · Election Day · electorate
- surveyspoll, polls, survey, surveys, questionnaire
- voter turnoutturnout, turnout rate, high turnout, low turnout, participation rate
- votersconstituent, nonvoter, constituents, electors, turnout