leading indicators
Forecasting economic signals
Leading indicators are metrics that signal future trends before they fully materialize.
In economics, leading indicators—like stock prices, building permits, or consumer confidence—help predict recessions or recoveries.
The concept extends beyond finance: High employee turnover is a leading indicator of organizational problems.
Contrasts with lagging indicators, which confirm trends already underway.
- stock marketSecurities trading venue
- signalsConveyed indications
- indicationsEvidence suggesting something
- business cycleEconomy's periodic ups and downs
- predictorsThings that forecast outcomes
early warning signs · ahead of the curve · yield curve · economic growth · consumer confidence · canary · crystal ball · tea leaves · economic indicators · inflation rates · interest rates · forecasts · employment trends · GDP growth · barometers · monetary policy · productivity · market trends
- economicssupply and demand, inflation, GDP, GNP, gross domestic product
- Market Indicatorsmarket sentiment, volatility, yield curve, moving average, trading volume
- forecastsweather forecast, sales forecast, revenue forecast, budget forecast, profit forecast
- forecastingforecast, prediction, prognosis, outlook, estimate