excess deaths

Above baseline fatalities

Excess deaths are deaths beyond what would normally be expected in a given population during a specific period.

The term appears most often in epidemiology and public health, where statisticians compare actual mortality to historical baselines: The pandemic caused an estimated 300,000 excess deaths in the first year.

Excess deaths capture mortality that official counts may miss—deaths from an undiagnosed disease, or indirect deaths caused by overwhelmed hospitals.

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COVID · epidemic · baseline · outbreak · nursing homes · spike · unprecedented · undercount · public health · health crisis · casualties · official count · crisis · morbidity · surge · data · coroner · actuarial

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mortality status

excess deathssurvival

Remaining alive against odds

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