fair bet

Odds favor it

A fair bet is a wager where the expected value equals the stake—neither side has a mathematical advantage.

More loosely, it describes something reasonably likely to happen: It's a fair bet she'll be late.

The phrase suggests confidence without certainty, acknowledging that outcomes remain uncertain but one possibility seems more probable than others.

Related

probability · risk · speculation · assumption · even money · variance · likelihood · punter · hedge · risk assessment · gamble · bookmaker · prediction · stake · forecast · payout · worth a shot · randomness

Opposites
probability/likelihood

fair betlong shot

Unlikely to succeed

outside chance · slim chance · snowball's chance in hell · pipe dream · fool's errand

risk assessment

fair betbad bet

Unwise wager

sucker bet · dumb money · hail mary · throwing money away

Family

fair, bet, fairly, fairness, fairer, fairest, unfair, unfairly, unfairness

Familiarity
Top 100,000
Profile
Known to kids · Used worldwide · Timeless · Everyday, not technical · Rated G